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Red118
260335.3
348419.2
402047.4
Blue47
381431.6
326026.7
683413.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92682040608010012014011847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.9
38.342.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
red by 15.8
3814
#21
31.62.2
27.124.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Second
35.33.9
30.234.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End8.8
red by 8.6
3260
#23
26.72.2
24.422.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.7
End5.5
Third
3484
#34
19.23.9
14.918.7
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
red by 5.6
6834
#50
13.62.2
15.112.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed