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Red117
205121.8
225247.4
320138.0
Blue85
426923.5
581127.0
131735.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9075406010012014011785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.8
36.240.0
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
red by 12.4
1317
#19
35.00.9
29.330.2
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End7.4
Second
3201
#11
38.03.8
30.834.6
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
red by 11.1
5811
#24
27.00.9
23.023.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End6.3
Third
2051
#26
21.83.8
15.819.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End5.4
blue by 1.7
4269
#25
23.50.9
19.720.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned