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Red133
319317.3
349227.4
69555.5
Blue92
239942.1
12825.5
398427.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1117420406010012014016013392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.51.2
56.457.7
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 13.3
2399
#17
42.11.9
34.836.8
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
Second
3492
#27
27.42.0
24.426.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.5
blue by 0.2
3984
#32
27.61.9
18.820.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3
Third
3193
#22
17.32.0
18.820.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End6.7
blue by 8.2
128
#33
25.51.9
20.922.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned