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Red31
549225.6
693618.3
319317.3
Blue126
261446.7
426923.5
402047.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721275010015020031126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#44
25.64.9
30.826.0
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End5.0
blue by 21.8
47.41.0
44.245.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
Second
6936
#46
18.34.9
23.018.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.3
blue by 28.4
46.71.0
47.448.4
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Third
3193
#22
17.34.9
20.916.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End6.7
blue by 6.2
4269
#25
23.51.0
20.621.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned