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Red64
412127.2
408518.0
101415.1
Blue58
696424.3
683413.6
14428.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71654060801006458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4121
#18
27.20.7
28.027.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 0.8
144
#41
28.10.4
22.422.0
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Second
4085
#35
18.00.7
21.120.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End6.4
blue by 6.4
6964
#38
24.30.4
25.424.9
Auto8.3
Teleop9.8
End6.2
Third
1014
#47
15.10.7
16.515.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.4
End4.7
red by 1.5
6834
#50
13.60.4
14.113.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned13%Activation oddsMissed