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Red96
103835.1
173247.0
460111.7
Blue134
402851.1
225247.4
348419.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411540608014016018096134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.4
44.444.7
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
blue by 4.0
4028
#12
51.13.0
45.548.5
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
Second
1038
#14
35.10.4
33.634.0
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
blue by 12.3
47.43.0
42.345.3
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
Third
4601
#49
11.70.6
12.613.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 7.5
3484
#34
19.23.0
17.220.2
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned