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Red70
314029.6
603226.1
414525.8
Blue92
541328.9
260335.3
398427.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909170801001101207092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#28
29.61.5
27.726.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End8.4
blue by 5.7
35.30.8
36.837.6
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End8.8
Second
6032
#36
26.11.5
27.025.5
Auto9.1
Teleop11.9
End5.1
blue by 2.8
28.90.8
28.028.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.1
End8.8
Third
4145
#20
25.81.5
30.028.5
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.4
blue by 1.8
3984
#32
27.60.8
19.620.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned