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Red114
446742.1
461132.8
566721.2
Blue96
412127.2
261446.7
349227.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80113020406010014016011496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#15
42.12.5
37.339.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.4
End7.2
blue by 4.5
46.71.2
48.447.3
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Second
32.82.5
24.026.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End8.4
red by 5.4
3492
#27
27.41.2
26.525.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End5.5
Third
5667
#39
21.22.5
18.220.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End4.7
blue by 6.0
4121
#18
27.21.2
27.226.1
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned