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Red71
45112.5
320138.0
751522.4
Blue74
350429.9
693618.3
348419.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7370204060801001207174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
38.00.3
34.935.2
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
red by 8.1
3504
#16
29.90.8
27.927.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8
Second
7515
#40
22.40.3
21.221.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.4
red by 3.2
3484
#34
19.20.7
20.219.5
Auto1.2
Teleop9.5
End8.5
Third
451
#43
12.50.3
11.712.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 5.8
6936
#46
18.30.8
18.117.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned66%Activation oddsMissed