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Red111
101415.1
402851.1
103835.1
Blue122
398427.6
69555.5
381431.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101112050150200111122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.11.4
48.549.9
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
blue by 4.4
695
#1
55.51.2
53.454.7
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
1038
#14
35.11.0
34.034.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
red by 3.5
3814
#21
31.61.8
29.831.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
Third
1014
#47
15.11.4
13.815.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.4
End4.7
blue by 12.5
3984
#32
27.61.8
20.422.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned