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Red128
239942.1
261446.7
461132.8
Blue35
12825.5
460111.7
711119.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815905010015012835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.75.0
30.735.6
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
red by 21.1
128
#33
25.52.6
19.717.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.9
End7.0
Second
2399
#17
42.15.0
20.525.5
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
red by 23.0
7111
#37
19.12.6
21.619.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End5.6
Third
32.85.0
22.127.1
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End8.4
red by 21.1
4601
#49
11.72.6
17.114.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed