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Red134
314029.6
402047.4
173247.0
Blue51
101415.1
751522.4
426923.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9254020408010012014016013451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.45.3
31.636.9
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
red by 23.9
4269
#25
23.50.5
19.519.0
Auto7.9
Teleop10.5
End5.2
Second
47.04.3
31.035.2
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 24.6
7515
#40
22.40.5
18.217.7
Auto4.8
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Third
3140
#28
29.65.3
18.624.0
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End8.4
red by 14.5
1014
#47
15.10.5
17.417.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned