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Red110
103835.1
320138.0
716533.6
Blue103
446742.1
260335.3
412127.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081138090100120130140110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#11
38.00.2
36.336.5
Auto10.4
Teleop21.3
End6.4
blue by 4.1
4467
#15
42.10.3
42.542.1
Auto12.5
Teleop22.4
End7.2
Second
1038
#14
35.10.2
33.733.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.6
End5.9
blue by 0.2
35.30.3
35.635.3
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End8.8
Third
7165
#29
33.60.2
31.932.1
Auto12.0
Teleop14.9
End6.8
red by 6.4
4121
#18
27.20.3
27.627.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End6.6