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Red81
381431.6
414525.8
541328.9
Blue117
261446.7
225247.4
131735.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8514605010020081117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3814
#21
31.60.3
31.931.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.6
End7.2
blue by 15.8
47.40.3
48.047.6
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
Second
28.90.3
29.228.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.1
End8.8
blue by 17.7
46.70.3
47.246.9
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Third
4145
#20
25.80.3
26.125.8
Auto9.4
Teleop10.0
End6.4
blue by 9.2
1317
#19
35.00.3
35.635.2
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End7.4