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Red141
170823.2
69555.5
173247.0
Blue140
32539.7
178748.9
398427.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132116050100150200250141140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#1
55.50.4
54.554.9
Auto13.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 6.6
48.90.5
47.147.6
Auto12.7
Teleop28.3
End7.8
Second
47.00.4
46.046.5
Auto10.6
Teleop28.2
End8.1
red by 7.3
325
#10
39.70.5
38.138.6
Auto12.5
Teleop20.4
End6.9
Third
1708
#30
23.20.5
22.022.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.7
End5.3
blue by 4.3
3984
#32
27.60.5
25.826.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3