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Red134
350429.9
402851.1
402047.4
Blue129
14428.1
239942.1
461132.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110150150200134129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#12
51.10.1
50.750.7
Auto14.6
Teleop30.1
End6.3
red by 8.9
2399
#17
42.10.7
41.141.7
Auto12.9
Teleop20.5
End8.4
Second
47.40.1
47.047.1
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End10.8
red by 14.6
32.80.7
31.832.5
Auto6.5
Teleop18.0
End8.4
Third
3504
#16
29.90.1
29.529.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.2
End7.8
red by 1.8
144
#41
28.10.6
27.127.7
Auto10.2
Teleop12.8
End5.1