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Red147
32539.7
178748.9
398427.6
Blue124
261446.7
225247.4
131735.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171406080100160180200147124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.8
47.648.4
Auto12.7
Teleop28.3
End7.8
red by 1.5
47.40.3
47.647.4
Auto16.5
Teleop24.5
End6.3
Second
325
#10
39.70.7
38.639.3
Auto12.5
Teleop20.4
End6.9
blue by 6.9
46.70.3
46.946.7
Auto13.8
Teleop23.4
End9.3
Third
3984
#32
27.60.8
26.327.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.9
End8.3
blue by 7.4
1317
#19
35.00.3
35.235.0
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End7.4