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Red122
294521.9
642443.0
161952.8
Blue63
324723.1
120926.7
393123.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132715010015020012263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.2
52.752.8
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End9.6
red by 26.1
26.70.4
27.126.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.7
Second
43.00.1
42.943.0
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End6.9
red by 19.4
23.60.4
24.023.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Third
2945
#18
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End6.2
blue by 1.2
3247
#22
23.10.4
23.523.1
Auto10.6
Teleop7.3
End5.2