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Red109
294521.9
642443.0
161952.8
Blue51
324723.1
120926.7
393123.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133735010015020010951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.2
52.952.7
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End9.6
red by 26.1
26.70.6
27.727.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.7
Second
43.00.2
43.142.9
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End6.9
red by 19.4
23.60.6
24.624.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Third
2945
#18
21.90.2
22.021.8
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End6.2
blue by 1.2
3247
#22
23.10.6
24.223.5
Auto10.6
Teleop7.3
End5.2