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Red66
400523.0
235239.8
235916.5
Blue98
324723.1
120926.7
393123.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878040601001201406698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.4
40.239.8
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 13.1
26.70.2
27.527.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.7
Second
4005
#11
23.00.4
23.423.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End6.4
blue by 0.6
23.60.2
24.424.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Third
2359
#25
16.50.4
16.916.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.4
End6.2
blue by 6.6
3247
#22
23.10.2
24.024.2
Auto10.6
Teleop7.3
End5.2