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Red95
316021.7
366027.5
235239.8
Blue58
460312.5
393123.6
555017.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7540020601001201409558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.83.2
27.230.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 16.2
23.60.4
18.118.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
Second
27.53.2
20.023.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.5
End9.1
red by 10.5
5550
#32
17.00.7
13.113.8
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
Third
3160
#13
21.73.2
18.822.0
Auto2.4
Teleop15.1
End4.2
red by 9.2
4603
#31
12.50.7
10.711.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed21%Activation oddsMissed