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Red115
400523.0
120926.7
156132.9
Blue63
239515.0
429314.1
235916.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714902040608010012011563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.6
22.624.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
red by 16.3
2359
#25
16.50.3
17.617.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.4
End6.2
Second
26.72.7
18.821.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.7
red by 11.6
2395
#23
15.00.3
13.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.7
Third
4005
#11
23.02.7
22.024.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End6.4
red by 8.9
4293
#26
14.10.3
17.317.0
Auto5.8
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsEarned9%Activation oddsMissed