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Red97
393123.6
120926.7
324723.1
Blue103
588934.0
156132.9
271820.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7791406010012014016097103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.6
26.927.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.8
End7.7
blue by 7.3
34.00.5
32.533.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Second
23.60.5
23.824.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End8.3
blue by 9.3
32.90.4
31.632.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End9.3
Third
3247
#22
23.10.6
23.423.9
Auto10.6
Teleop7.3
End5.2
red by 2.3
2718
#24
20.90.5
19.419.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.9
End3.3