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Red97
400523.0
235239.8
235916.5
Blue53
871114.7
216523.9
237327.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89694060801001201409753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.3
40.240.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.4
End6.5
red by 12.8
2373
#16
27.00.4
27.627.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.5
End4.9
Second
4005
#11
23.00.3
23.423.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.4
End6.4
blue by 0.9
2165
#12
23.90.4
24.524.2
Auto8.6
Teleop5.8
End9.4
Third
2359
#25
16.50.3
16.917.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.4
End6.2
red by 1.9
8711
#33
14.70.4
15.315.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End3.5