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Red126
808624.1
464643.2
216531.2
Blue54
452325.3
316316.2
774414.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9158010015012654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#17
43.21.4
34.836.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 17.9
4523
#14
25.30.3
22.822.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Second
2165
#23
31.21.3
24.525.8
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
red by 15.0
3163
#33
16.20.5
18.017.5
Auto1.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Third
8086
#28
24.12.2
22.224.4
Auto9.8
Teleop9.0
End5.4
red by 9.7
7744
#44
14.40.5
17.517.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned