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Red102
346520.5
180635.3
871115.1
Blue112
900727.1
241033.5
156146.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48950150200102112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#12
35.31.6
25.627.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 10.7
46.01.6
35.737.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
Second
3465
#37
20.51.6
9.310.9
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 13.0
33.51.6
25.827.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Third
8711
#47
15.11.6
16.117.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 11.9
9007
#30
27.11.6
21.423.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned