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Red96
500646.5
748324.1
235735.8
Blue75
239520.0
555022.4
208333.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885301001509675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.5
34.835.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 13.4
2083
#16
33.10.4
20.621.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
Second
2357
#22
35.80.5
30.431.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
red by 13.4
5550
#40
22.40.4
16.917.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
7483
#27
24.10.5
12.813.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.0
End7.6
red by 4.1
2395
#31
20.00.4
16.216.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed