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Red106
208333.1
93526.3
180635.3
Blue65
234119.3
774414.4
237335.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73662040608010012014010665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#12
35.32.6
27.229.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 0.5
2373
#25
35.80.2
28.929.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Second
2083
#16Sur
33.12.6
21.023.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
red by 13.8
2341
#32Sur
19.30.1
16.816.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
Third
935
#21
26.32.6
19.421.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.2
red by 11.9
7744
#44
14.40.3
17.117.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsEarned19%Activation oddsMissed