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Red132
808624.1
317933.0
133960.6
Blue91
3123.5
216531.2
813612.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13152010015020013291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.61.3
58.960.2
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
red by 29.3
2165
#23
31.21.5
25.827.3
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
Second
3179
#11
33.01.3
29.831.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
red by 9.5
31
#24
23.51.5
18.419.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End4.4
Third
8086
#28Sur
24.12.1
24.426.5
Auto9.8
Teleop9.0
End5.4
red by 11.8
8136
#46Sur
12.32.5
14.517.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned