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Red90
235247.4
216531.2
680917.2
Blue121
93526.3
461362.0
277326.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710705015090121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.7
39.840.5
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
blue by 14.6
62.00.9
62.263.1
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End8.3
Second
2165
#23
31.20.7
23.924.5
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
red by 4.7
2773
#26
26.50.9
17.017.9
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End5.9
Third
6809
#43
17.20.7
12.513.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End4.9
blue by 9.1
935
#21
26.31.1
17.818.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned