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Red54
316033.6
175010.8
774414.4
Blue127
500646.5
156146.0
297230.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4298015020054127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3160
#29
33.60.5
21.722.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
blue by 13.0
46.52.8
32.034.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Second
7744
#44
14.40.9
16.717.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.7
End4.6
blue by 31.5
46.02.8
32.935.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
Third
1750
#42
10.80.6
7.98.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End1.5
blue by 19.4
30.22.8
19.822.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.7
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
9%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned