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Red85
277326.5
871115.1
683215.6
Blue89
602632.3
237335.8
120931.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509601508589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2773
#26
26.50.1
22.722.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End5.9
blue by 9.3
2373
#25
35.80.3
29.129.4
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Second
6832
#39
15.60.1
15.715.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End4.5
blue by 16.6
6026
#35
32.30.3
26.526.8
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2
Third
8711
#47
15.10.1
14.114.0
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 15.9
1209
#19
31.00.3
28.929.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed