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Red129
235247.4
241033.5
317933.0
Blue116
235735.8
808624.1
316033.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178350100150200129116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.4
42.743.1
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
red by 11.6
2357
#22
35.81.9
32.534.4
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
33.50.4
29.429.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
blue by 0.1
3160
#29
33.61.9
25.427.4
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
Third
3179
#11
33.00.4
33.634.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
red by 8.9
8086
#28
24.13.2
24.127.3
Auto9.8
Teleop9.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned