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Red141
501347.7
120931.0
198643.3
Blue58
234119.3
235929.2
555022.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216905010015020014158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.72.3
43.345.5
Auto9.4
Teleop28.9
End9.3
red by 18.5
2359
#20
29.20.9
30.629.7
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2
Second
1986
#15
43.32.3
35.237.4
Auto13.9
Teleop22.8
End6.6
red by 20.8
5550
#40
22.40.9
20.019.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.4
End4.1
Third
1209
#19
31.02.3
28.530.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End7.7
red by 11.7
2341
#32
19.30.9
20.819.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed