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Red115
806412.8
461362.0
464643.2
Blue142
133960.6
208333.1
235735.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201296080100140160180200115142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.1
60.260.3
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End8.3
red by 1.4
60.61.1
56.757.8
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
Second
4646
#17
43.20.1
37.137.1
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 7.3
2357
#22
35.81.1
36.037.1
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Third
8064
#41
12.80.1
16.816.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End2.5
blue by 20.4
2083
#16
33.11.1
27.428.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned