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Red113
317933.0
156146.0
316033.6
Blue108
237335.8
400533.7
277326.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148350100150200113108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.00.7
41.542.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
red by 10.2
2373
#25
35.81.8
31.333.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
Second
3160
#29
33.60.7
27.428.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
blue by 0.1
4005
#10
33.71.8
28.730.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Third
3179
#11
33.00.7
34.034.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
red by 6.5
2773
#26
26.51.8
21.423.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed