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Red117
239520.0
216531.2
501347.7
Blue111
180635.3
808624.1
198643.3
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103101708090110120130140117111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.71.5
47.048.5
Auto9.4
Teleop28.9
End9.3
red by 4.5
1986
#15
43.30.6
39.840.4
Auto13.9
Teleop22.8
End6.6
Second
2165
#23
31.21.5
29.731.2
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
blue by 4.1
1806
#12
35.30.6
34.134.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Third
2395
#31
20.01.5
17.919.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End4.7
blue by 4.1
8086
#28
24.10.9
22.923.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned