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Red123
924417.4
237335.8
464643.2
Blue129
297230.2
235247.4
346520.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8993050150200250123129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#17
43.21.8
37.038.8
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
blue by 4.2
47.42.1
44.046.1
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
2373
#25
35.81.8
33.335.1
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
red by 5.6
30.22.1
25.727.8
Auto10.1
Teleop11.7
End8.4
Third
9244
#45
17.42.6
13.416.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End2.6
blue by 3.1
3465
#37
20.52.1
17.319.4
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
13%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned