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Red120
235929.2
452325.3
133960.6
Blue106
241033.5
93526.3
400533.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289250100150200120106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.3
61.862.1
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
red by 26.9
4005
#10
33.71.0
33.034.0
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Second
2359
#20
29.20.3
28.929.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2
blue by 4.3
33.51.0
32.433.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Third
4523
#14
25.30.3
25.225.5
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
blue by 1.0
935
#21
26.31.0
25.326.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned