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Red67
683215.6
208333.1
808624.1
Blue63
316033.6
234119.3
813612.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816320401001201401606763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#16
33.10.5
33.232.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
blue by 0.4
3160
#29
33.60.2
29.629.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
Second
8086
#28
24.10.6
24.724.1
Auto9.8
Teleop9.0
End5.4
red by 4.8
2341
#32
19.30.2
19.619.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.1
End4.1
Third
6832
#39
15.60.5
16.115.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End4.5
red by 3.3
8136
#46
12.30.3
12.612.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed