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Red136
133960.6
501347.7
237335.8
Blue85
317933.0
400533.7
346520.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166835010015020025013685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.4
62.161.7
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
red by 26.9
4005
#10
33.70.2
34.033.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End5.1
Second
47.70.4
49.248.8
Auto9.4
Teleop28.9
End9.3
red by 14.7
3179
#11
33.00.2
33.333.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
Third
2373
#25
35.80.4
37.036.6
Auto10.1
Teleop21.0
End4.5
red by 15.3
3465
#37
20.50.2
20.820.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9