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Red115
500646.5
464643.2
316033.6
Blue82
235929.2
235735.8
241033.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120102608014016018011582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.0
42.342.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
red by 10.7
2357
#22
35.80.6
35.835.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
4646
#17
43.20.0
38.938.9
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 9.7
33.50.6
33.432.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Third
3160
#29
33.60.0
29.329.3
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
red by 4.4
2359
#20
29.20.6
29.128.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2