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Red129
156146.0
642461.3
233334.9
Blue121
180635.3
297230.2
208333.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539650200129121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.2
59.959.7
Auto15.0
Teleop37.1
End8.7
red by 26.0
1806
#12
35.30.3
34.935.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Second
46.00.2
44.644.4
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
red by 12.8
2083
#16
33.10.3
32.733.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
Third
2333
#34
34.90.2
33.533.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2
red by 4.8
30.20.3
29.730.0
Auto10.1
Teleop11.7
End8.4