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Red155
461362.0
216531.2
198643.3
Blue133
393133.9
235247.4
602632.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811350100200155133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.5
61.461.8
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End8.3
red by 14.6
47.40.4
46.246.6
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
1986
#15
43.30.5
42.743.1
Auto13.9
Teleop22.8
End6.6
red by 9.4
3931
#13
33.90.4
32.733.1
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Third
2165
#23
31.20.5
30.731.1
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
blue by 1.0
6026
#35
32.30.4
31.131.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2