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Red87
346520.5
400533.7
317933.0
Blue109
235929.2
235735.8
241033.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210505015020087109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#10
33.70.1
33.833.7
Auto9.0
Teleop19.5
End5.1
blue by 2.1
2357
#22
35.80.0
35.235.2
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
3179
#11
33.00.1
33.133.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.3
End7.2
blue by 0.5
33.50.0
32.932.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Third
3465
#37
20.50.1
20.620.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 8.7
2359
#20
29.20.0
28.528.6
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2