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Red109
208333.1
297230.2
180635.3
Blue152
393133.9
235247.4
602632.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212150150200109152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#12
35.30.1
35.235.3
Auto11.0
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 12.1
47.40.7
46.647.3
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
2083
#16
33.10.1
33.033.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End9.5
blue by 0.7
3931
#13
33.90.7
33.133.8
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Third
30.20.1
30.030.2
Auto10.1
Teleop11.7
End8.4
blue by 2.1
6026
#35
32.30.7
31.532.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2