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Red155
500646.5
464643.2
316033.6
Blue157
233334.9
642461.3
156146.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11515250100200250155157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.9
43.043.9
Auto12.3
Teleop26.2
End8.1
blue by 14.7
61.30.4
60.360.8
Auto15.0
Teleop37.1
End8.7
Second
4646
#17
43.20.9
39.640.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.8
End6.7
blue by 2.8
46.00.4
45.045.5
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End10.1
Third
3160
#29
33.60.9
30.031.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.7
End7.0
blue by 1.4
2333
#34
34.90.4
34.034.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.2