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Red112
461362.0
216531.2
198643.3
Blue127
235929.2
235735.8
241033.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559550200112127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.00.6
62.562.0
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End8.3
red by 26.1
2357
#22
35.80.6
35.235.8
Auto11.4
Teleop17.3
End7.1
Second
1986
#15
43.30.6
43.943.3
Auto13.9
Teleop22.8
End6.6
red by 9.8
33.50.6
32.933.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.9
End7.9
Third
2165
#23
31.20.6
31.831.2
Auto10.8
Teleop12.5
End8.0
red by 2.0
2359
#20
29.20.6
28.629.1
Auto10.1
Teleop11.9
End7.2