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Red146
133960.6
501347.7
452325.3
Blue122
393133.9
235247.4
602632.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471176080100140160180200146122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.60.1
60.861.0
Auto16.1
Teleop35.6
End8.6
red by 13.2
47.40.1
47.347.4
Auto14.1
Teleop26.1
End7.0
Second
47.70.1
48.048.1
Auto9.4
Teleop28.9
End9.3
red by 13.9
3931
#13
33.90.1
33.833.9
Auto10.7
Teleop16.1
End7.1
Third
4523
#14
25.30.1
25.525.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
blue by 7.0
6026
#35
32.30.1
32.232.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.1
End8.2