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Red111
86519.5
128534.5
492029.8
Blue93
136024.4
490329.2
588522.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877905010015020011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.3
33.433.7
Auto10.6
Teleop17.1
End6.8
red by 5.3
4903
#26
29.20.3
29.029.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Second
4920
#14
29.80.3
28.729.0
Auto12.4
Teleop9.3
End8.1
red by 5.4
1360
#10
24.40.3
24.124.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.5
End8.9
Third
865
#21
19.50.3
18.318.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End6.2
blue by 2.9
5885
#15
22.30.3
22.122.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End6.6